TDP #01: Yes, No, and Everything in Between

See what's trending—before it happens.

May 28, 2025

✍️ Editor’s note:

Welcome to the very first issue of The Daily Prediction.

Prediction markets are more than bets—they’re signals. And in a world flooded with noise, they’re becoming one of the clearest ways to understand what people really believe will happen next.

From Bitcoin price swings to the return of Jesus (yes, really), we’ll be covering the wild, weird, and wildly useful corners of these markets—across crypto, sports, culture, and traditional finance.

Our goal is simple: help you spot the signal, track the odds, and maybe even profit along the way.

Let’s dive in.

— The Daily Prediction Team

📈How High Will Inflation Get in 2025?

Kalshi’s market on U.S. annual inflation offers a window into how traders are interpreting the economic landscape for 2025. As of May 28, 2025, participants are actively speculating on where the Consumer Price Index (CPI) will land by year’s end. Here are the options with the current highest probabilities:

3.6% to 4%: 19%
3.1% to 3.5%: 18%
2.6% to 3%: 18%
2.1% to 2.5%: 11%

🔎 Current Inflation Snapshot

The latest available data indicates the US inflation rate (CPI YoY) was 2.3% in April 2025, down from 2.4% in March 2025. Moreover, the core inflation rate in the US stands at 2.8%, the lowest it has been in the last four years, per Trading Economics.

While inflation seems to be cooling, traders on Kalshi are still pricing in the possibility of a year-end rebound. Whether you’re betting on a soft landing or a surprise spike, this market offers a clear lens into how expectations are shifting in real time. Let’s keep an eye on it. 👀

🟠 What Price Will Bitcoin Hit in May 2025?

There are four more days to place your predictions on Bitcoin’s price this month. Polymarket offers several price brackets for Bitcoin's closing price in May 2025. As of today, the leading options and their associated probabilities are:

$115K: 18%
$125K: 1%
$90K: 1%
$85K: 1%

💸 Current Bitcoin Price

As of May 28, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $109,068.00, per CoinDesk. Analysts predict Bitcoin could reach $120,000–$130,000 by mid-2025, driven by institutional adoption and post-halving momentum, though tariff-related economic headwinds may cap gains.

The clock’s ticking, and traders are eyeing a bold finish for Bitcoin — but with a few days to go, anything can happen. Will it blast past $115K or fizzle below expectations? Either way, the market’s heating up. Stay sharp.