TDP #02: Odds and Endgames
See what's trending—before it happens.
✍️ Editor’s note:
Welcome back to The Daily Prediction!
The excitement of the Day 1 launch of our newsletter is still here—we’re prediction people. We sift through the chaos with data and logic… but we’re not immune to a little suspense ourselves.
So, what’s in store for Day 2? A roundup of market insights, some surprises—and yes, a giveaway waiting for you at the end of this edition. 👀
— The Daily Prediction Team
📈What is the Largest Company by End of May 2025?
Only three days left before Polymarket closes the books on its market predicting the world's largest company by month's end. The usual titans are in the lead, with NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Apple vying for the top spot. Here’s how the probabilities are shaping up in Polymarket:
NVIDIA: 77%
Microsoft: 20%
Apple: 1%
Amazon: 1%
Google: 1%
📊 Current Market Cap Rankings
NVIDIA continues to ride the AI wave, reporting record-high $44 billion in quarterly revenue, per The Wall Street Journal. With growth like that, it’s no surprise traders are betting on it to dethrone Microsoft.
But could a wildcard shake things up? 👀
Emirates Global Aluminium is pouring $4 billion into a new U.S. production plant. Meanwhile, Amazon Web Services is investing €1.2 billion to expand in Italy.
Still, the race looks like a two-horse showdown.
Will NVIDIA cement its dominance—or can Microsoft make a late move? ⚔️
🟠 What Price Will Ethereum Hit at 5 PM EDT (May 29)?
With just a few hours left to place your bet, Kalshi traders are zeroing in on three key levels for ETH’s closing price today. Current probabilities:
$2,720 or above: 48%
$2,760 or above: 42%
$2,800 or above: 11%
💸 Current Ethereum Price
As of May 29, 2025, Ethereum is trading around $2,713.05, per CoinDesk. There’s traction for ETH to break above the $2,800 resistance level, especially if it can maintain its current momentum.
If it does, then a bullish move towards $3,000 soon is not out of the question. Keep your eyes on institutional inflows. These could further push the momentum forward for Ethereum.
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone.
⚖️ Politics
Who will be the next president of South Korea? (Polymarket)
Will there be a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas before July 2025? (Polymarket)
Will the Pope say Trump’s name before September 2025? (Kalshi)
🎭 Culture
How many tweets will Elon Musk publish from May 23 to 30? (Polymarket)
Who will be on the cover of NBA 2K26? (Kalshi)
Will Joe Rogan announce his conversion to Christianity before July 1, 2025? (Manifold)
🖥️ Tech
Who will acquire TikTok? (Polymarket)
What will Apple announce at WWDC 2025? (Kalshi)
Will NASA confirm aliens before 2027? (Manifold)
⚖️ Health
How much will the price of insulin fall this year? (Kalshi)
Will a human case of the new coronavirus be reported before June 2025? (Kalshi)
🎁 Meme You There: Groovy Market’s MEMECON Ticket Giveaway
Groovy Market, the new user-generated prediction platform, is giving away tickets to MEMECON Lisbon (June 4–6).
Here’s how to enter:
Subscribe to the Groovy Market newsletter by entering your email and hitting Subscribe below.
Post a screenshot of your subscription on X and tag Groovy’s official account.
That’s it—you’re in! 👇
