TDP #04: New Week Watch
See what's trending—before it happens.
🦄 Powered by Groovy Market.
✍️ Editor’s note:
Welcome to the fourth edition of The Daily Prediction!
It’s a new week—and prediction markets didn’t take the weekend off.
This edition breaks down the bets that matter, helping you stay one step ahead before the week picks up speed.
Oh, and there’s a little surprise waiting at the end. Don’t you want to find out? 🎁
— The Daily Prediction Team
🪙 What Price Will Bitcoin Hit in June?
It’s the start of June—and a fresh month means a fresh chance to predict where Bitcoin’s headed. Most Polymarket traders are eyeing the $100K to $115K range, with a growing number leaning toward the $120K mark.
Here’s how Bitcoin price predictions are shaping up for the month of June:
$100K: 74%
$110K: 62%
$95K: 45%
$115K: 37%
$120K: 20%
$90K: 23%
Traders on Manifold see a 47% chance of Bitcoin hitting the $115K mark this month—but only 15% think it’ll be above to $109K by June 4 (down from 56% last week!). That suggests predictors expect more momentum later in the month rather than in the first week.
🔎 Bitcoin’s Historical Data (May 2025)
Resilience was the name of the game for Bitcoin in May. Last May 22, BTC hit a new record high of nearly $112,000.
Companies like MicroStrategy and Trump Media are joining the BTC rally. That’s some corporate confidence right there.
Markets are showing optimism for Bitcoin to take an upward trajectory in June. Keep a close eye on institutional adoption and the current bullish sentiment. 👀
⚖️ Who Will be the Next President of South Korea?
Polymarket traders are ramping up predictions for the 2025 South Korean presidential election, which will be held on June 3, 2025. Lee Jae-myung is the favorite to win the snap election, with conservative Kim Moon-soo trailing in second.
Here’s how the South Korean presidential race is shaping up on Polymarket:
Lee Jae-myung: 96% (up almost 5% since last week!)
Kim Moon-soo: 4%
Following the impeachment of former President Yoon Suk Yeol, South Korea set the stage for a snap election. Lee, who is now projected to win the presidency, actually lost to Yoon in the 2022 election.
Of course, this isn’t just a political bet. South Korea’s future leadership will be dealing with economic challenges and deteriorating trade conditions.
With Lee looming as the overwhelming favorite, Kalshi traders are already placing predictions on who will finish second in the elections.
That makes this race a bit more interesting. 🤔
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, and Kalshi.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone!
💵 Finance
What will be Elon Musk’s net worth on June 30? (Polymarket)
Will there be a half-trillionaire by the end of 2025? (Manifold)
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year? (Kalshi)
🎭 Culture
What will be the highest-grossing movie in 2025? (Polymarket)
What will be the Rotten Tomatoes score of “Jurassic World Rebirth”? (Kalshi)
Who will be TIME’s 2025 Person of the Year? (Manifold)
🎁 Meme You There: Groovy Market’s MEMECON Ticket Giveaway
Groovy Market, the new user-generated prediction platform, is giving away tickets to MEMECON Lisbon (June 4–6).
Here’s how to enter:
Subscribe to the Groovy Market newsletter by entering your email and hitting Subscribe below.
Post a screenshot of your subscription on X and tag Groovy’s official account.
That’s it—you’re in! 👇
