TDP #05: Next in the Blue House?
See what's trending—before it happens.
🦄 Powered by Groovy Market.
✍️ Editor’s note:
The 5th edition of The Daily Prediction is here!
The start of the week was a busy one for prediction markets, with people placing predictions on today’s South Korean presidential election. Are the polls correct in anticipating Lee Jae-myung as the overwhelming favorite? We’ll know soon. 👀
But don’t forget: there are other exciting predictions in store for you.
Also, who’s going with us to MEMECON 2025 in Lisbon? We’re giving away free tickets—check out the mechanics below. 😎
— The Daily Prediction Team
🪙 What Price Will Solana Hit in June?
On Polymarket, traders are already speculating on Solana’s (SOL) price trajectory for June 2025. As of writing (June 3, 2025), Solana is trading at $161.22, per CoinGecko.
Here’s how Solana price predictions on Polymarket are shaping up for the month of June:
$180: 56%
$140: 52%
$200: 27%
$120: 22%
$220: 14%
$100: 8%
$80: 2%
There’s also an ongoing prediction on Solana potentially surpassing Ethereum's market cap on Manifold. But with Ethereum’s market cap currently at $315.63B, Solana ($84.3B) is a long way behind.
🔎 Solana’s Historical Data (May 2025)
In May 2025, Solana fluctuated mostly around the range of $160 to $175. It reached a monthly peak of $187.28 last May 23, but is still far behind its all-time high of $294.85 (January 19, 2025).
Notably, though, there are bullish sentiments towards SOL. Traders Union estimates an average price of $194.39 for June 2025, while DigitalCoinPrice forecasts a $230.76 average.
Solana will still experience volatility, but June forecasts are more optimistic than the coin’s performance in May. Let’s see how it pans out. 🤞
💵 What Will the US Tariff Rate Be on China on August 15?
Traders on Polymarket are leaning toward a moderate tariff rate on August 15, with the 25-40% trading at 46%.
Here’s how traders are anticipating the US-China tariff rate in August:
25-40%: 46%
<25%: 29%
40-60%: 10%
100-150%: 8%
60-100%: 4%
As of June 3, 2025, the average US tariff rate on imports from China is 51.1%. It’s higher than the baseline tariff rate of 10%, but a significant reduction from a peak of 145% in April 2025.
The reduction comes after the agreement between the US and China to lower tariffs for 90 days. This agreement will end on August 12.
Will the US tariffs on China increase after August 12? Analysts say it could reach up to 25%, but we’ll see.
Stay tuned, as this US-China tariff standoff could impact global trade dynamics. 🌍
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, and Kalshi.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone!
🤖 Tech
How much will iPhone 17 cost? (Polymarket)
Will Waymo operate in Las Vegas before September? (Kalshi)
Will Tesla offer a Robo-Taxi service by the end of 2025? (Manifold)
🎭 Culture
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025? (Manifold)
How many jelly beans are in this jar? (Manifold)
Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? (Kalshi)
🎁 Meme You There: Groovy Market’s MEMECON Ticket Giveaway
Groovy Market, the new user-generated prediction platform, is giving away tickets to MEMECON Lisbon (June 4–6).
Here’s how to enter:
Subscribe to the Groovy Market newsletter by entering your email and hitting Subscribe below.
Post a screenshot of your subscription on X and tag Groovy’s official account.
That’s it—you’re in! 👇
