TDP #06: Wednesday's Wildcards
See what's trending—before it happens.
🦄 Powered by Groovy Market - Ask. Earn. Repeat.
✍️ Editor’s note:
Our first five newsletters were a hit!
The speculative market is expanding as we speak, and people want a front-row seat to the future.
That’s why we’re here: to give you the sharpest signals from the globe’s noisiest corner. It turns out that the crowd’s money today is on the able shoulders of our sportsmen, as you’ll find out below. 👀
So, welcome to the 6th edition of The Daily Prediction!
— The Daily Prediction Team
🏀 Who Will be the Next NBA Champion?
Polymarket traders are placing their bets on which team they think will win the 2025 NBA Championship. The Finals will feature the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers, two franchises that haven’t won a championship yet.
So far, the battle on Polymarket is heavily inclined towards the West:
Oklahoma City Thunder: 86%
Indiana Pacers: 15%
This 86-15 probability is similar to the NBA championship markets in Kalshi and Manifold. Spearheaded by the season MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, the Thunder are the favorites to win the ‘chip. It also helps that they swept their regular-season series against the Pacers.
Still, the Pacers are a dangerous team to go up against. Pascal Siakam, the Eastern Conference Finals MVP, won the championship in 2019. Tyrese Haliburton is also in his element this playoffs.
Plus, the Pacers haven’t lost two consecutive games in this postseason. The Thunder have to be wary.
Let’s get the ball rolling, shall we? 🏀
💵 Who Will Be the Wealthiest Person in 2025?
Kalshi’s market for the wealthiest person in 2025 presents three frontrunners, led by Tesla CEO Elon Musk:
Elon Musk: 81%
Jeff Bezos: 5%
Jensen Huang: 4%
Bernard Arnault and family: 3%
Mark Zuckerberg: 3%
With Musk stepping down from the Trump administration last month, there are speculations that he’ll double down on his business ventures. Per Investopedia, the 53-year-old businessman’s net worth is currently at $379 billion.
Ka-ching, ka-ching. 💰
Zuckerberg and Bezos are trailing with $229B and $226B, respectively. Their wealth is growing, but not at the pace of Musk’s.
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone!
⛈️ Climate
How many tropical storms will there be this year? (Kalshi)
How many tornadoes will there be in June 2025? (Kalshi)
Is June 2025 the hottest month on record? (Polymarket)
🎭 Culture
Which artists will release new albums in 2025? (Polymarket)
Will World War 3 happen before GTA6? (Manifold)
Will Zuckerberg and Musk fight this year? (Kalshi)
