TDP #08: Oh, The Beef Just Got Real
See what's trending—before it happens.
🦄 Powered by Groovy Market - Ask. Earn. Repeat.
✍️ Editor’s note:
Welcome to the Friday Feud!
Ah, kidding.
This is the eighth edition of The Daily Prediction. And it’s about to be spiciest of the bunch.
Why? Two words. Elon. Trump.
Let’s get ready to rumbleee! 🥊
— The Daily Prediction Team
⚖️ Will the Trump x Epstein Files Be Made Public in 2025?
This week really didn’t go gently into that good night. We just talked about Donald Trump potentially disparaging Elon Musk in public yesterday. Now, the feud between the two former allies has blown up.
On Polymarket, traders are speculating if Trump is indeed mentioned in the Epstein files, per the claim made by Musk. So far, the majority is inclined towards saying no:
Yes: 15%
No: 86%
After Musk publicly claimed Trump’s involvement in the Epstein files, House Democrats are now urging the Department of Justice to review the contents of the documents. The White House has dismissed these claims as baseless, but the pressure continues to mount.
But it’s not just Trump that’s affected by all this chaos. Musk’s businesses are taking a hit, starting with Tesla.
So, this isn’t just a petty feud between two personas. You’re also monitoring market activities around Musk’s businesses—and potentially, the economic impact on the Trump administration.
🤖 Will Tesla Name a New CEO Before July?
We’re still on the Musk marathon. We hope you’re not exhausted yet.
With Tesla’s shares dropping drastically since yesterday, Polymarket traders are already predicting a new CEO for the automotive and clean energy company.
The early returns are saying no:
Yes: 4.2%
No: 97.1%
But hey, these are early days. Senior Tesla execs reportedly questioned Musk when he killed a new EV product last year.
Now that his feud with Trump has slammed Tesla shares to the floor, company shareholders might become skeptical of Musk, too.
This market is building up as we go, and we’re here to keep a close watch. 👀
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone!
🧑⚕️ Health
Will a new bird flu vaccine be approved this year? (Kalshi)
How many new drugs will the FDA approve this year? (Kalshi)
Will there be a new pandemic this year? (Kalshi)
🎭 Culture
Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July? (Polymarket)
Will the book “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” get on the NYT bestseller list? (Manifold)
What will be the top US Netflix show this week? (Kalshi)
