TDP #09: Money Moves
See what's trending—before it happens.
🦄 Powered by Groovy Market - Ask. Earn. Repeat.
✍️ Editor’s note:
Welcome to the ninth edition of The Daily Prediction!
So much of the past few days was about the Elon-Trump feud. Well, rightfully so.
But let’s take a break from that for a while, shall we?
We’ll go deep-diving into the crypto space and unpack how much traders see volatility in play.
Here’s to a great, productive week everyone! 🍻
— The Daily Prediction Team
⚖️ When Will Bitcoin Hit $150k?
Kalshi traders are leaning toward a late 2025 surge for Bitcoin. This cautious optimism reflects the broader sentiment that $ 150,000 is within reach eventually, but few expect a sudden moonshot.
Here’s how this market is playing out on Kalshi:
Before 2026: 36%
Before October: 20%
Before July: 2%
🔎 Current Bitcoin Snapshot
As of June 9, 2025, Bitcoin is trading around $105,602, with intraday swings between $105,110 and $106,368. BTC recently bounced to $104k, and CoinDesk warns that unless it crosses $107k, a bearish correction remains likely. 👀
You can also find daily Bitcoin predictions on Polymarket. Traders there are currently predicting BTC’s price on June 10, with the range $105- 107k gaining the most traction (37%).
Manifold traders are also placing a 72% chance that Bitcoin goes above $106k on June 11.
How about you? Are you bearish or bullish on the BTC wave? 🤔
🤖 Which Will Be the Best AI in June?
Kalshi traders are placing their bets on which large language model will be the highest-ranked on the LM-Arena leaderboard this month. As expected, Google’s Gemini is the frontrunner:
Gemini (Google): 90%
ChatGPT (OpenAI): 7%
Grok (xAI): 4%
Claude (Anthropic): Less than 1%
📊 Current AI Leaderboard
Gemini-2.5-Pro-Preview-06-05 leads the benchmark charts, outperforming peers in reasoning, code completion, and general querying tasks.
Don’t count out the new Claude 4 models, though. Per TechCrunch, the new Claude Opus 4 and Claude Sonnet 4 can “analyze large datasets and execute long-horizon tasks”.
We want Google to be on its toes. More of this competition, please. 💪
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone!
👱 Trump
Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday? (Polymarket)
Will Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday? (Polymarket)
What nickname will Trump give to Elon? (Manifold)
🎭 Culture
How high will “Superman” score on Rotten Tomatoes? (Kalshi)
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 be hacked within 12 months of its release? (Manifold)
Which will win the Album of the Year at the BET Awards? (Kalshi)
