TDP #11: The Sportsman Wager
See what's trending—before it happens.
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✍️ Editor’s note:
The 11th edition of The Daily Prediction is here!
It’s Wednesday, and the prediction markets are electric with NBA Finals fever and US Open anticipation. The elites of the sports world are duking it out in the highest level of competition.
No wonder why traders are all following the signals in these matches. 🌠
Also, we curated some of the most unique predictions out there. Let’s get the ball rollin’! 🏀
— The Daily Prediction Team
🏀 Who Will Win Game 3 of the NBA Finals?
Polymarket traders are placing their bets on who will win Game 3 of the NBA Finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers. So far, the market is favoring the Thunder with this probability:
Thunder: 67%
Pacers: 34%
The series is currently tied at one win apiece, after the Thunder dominated Game 2 with a 123-107 victory. Season MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been magnificent in the playoffs.
You’re not convinced? Take a look:
SGA is averaging 30.4 points on an excellent 58.2% True Shooting this playoffs, which is quite a historic feat for a primary ballhandler. He’s only turning the ball over 2.2 times, another testament to his efficiency.
Of course, you can’t count out the resilient Pacers yet. Despite the odds stacked against them for pretty much the whole postseason, this team hasn’t lost consecutive games. They know how to bounce back, and they bounce back well.
Game 3 is a pivotal one. Where’s your watch party at? 🍿
⛳ Who Will Win the US Open Championship?
On Kalshi, anticipation is high for the upcoming US Open Championship at Pinehurst. Per Golf Digest, the top-ranked Scottie Scheffler is the favorite to win the title.
The Kalshi market is reflecting that prediction, with Scheffler leading the pack:
Scottie Scheffler: 26%
Bryson DeChambeau: 13%
Jon Rahm: 8%
Rory McIlroy: 7%
Scheffler won the 2024 Masters, but McIlroy’s recent PGA Championship win could split bets. Pinehurst’s firm greens favor precision and a whole lot of experience on the course.
Some experts are also looking at Harris English, Keegan Bradley, and Sepp Straka as darkhorse picks for the tournament.
With 72 holes to complete, let’s see who will emerge victorious in the end. 🏆
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone!
👱 Trump
When will Trump meet with Elon Musk? (Polymarket)
Who will be the first to leave the Trump cabinet? (Kalshi)
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? (Polymarket)
🎭 Culture
Which movie has the biggest opening weekend in 2025? (Polymarket)
Which will win the Emmy Award for Best Drama Series? (Kalshi)
Would TikTok be sold by June 19? (Polymarket)
