TDP #12: Thursday's Top Bets
See what's trending—before it happens.
🦄 Powered by Groovy Market - Ask. Earn. Repeat.
✍️ Editor’s note:
Welcome back to The Daily Prediction!
Big, big moves yesterday. 💪
Bitcoin surged past $110k on renewed hope of Fed easing and record ETF inflows.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk is still pushing for record EV output, even amidst subsidy threats.
How are traders looking at crypto’s surge and Tesla’s factory floor? Let’s take a look.
— The Daily Prediction Team
🪙 How High is Bitcoin’s Price on June 13?
Polymarket traders are betting big—but measured—on Bitcoin’s short-term momentum. With BTC hitting $110k yesterday, the crypto space is getting optimistic (cautiously optimistic that is).
Traders are bullish Bitcoin’s maintained momentum on June 13. Here’s how the predictions are shaping up on Polymarket:
>106k: 74%
104-106k: 18%
102-104k: 5%
<100k: 2%
100-102k: 1%
🔎 Current Bitcoin Snapshot
As of June 12, 2025, Bitcoin has gone down to $107,666.
Still, Bitcoin closed yesterday at $111,428. Buoyed by Tuesday’s sharp rally, there’s confidence that Bitcoin will still return to the $110k mark.
Oh, and let us remind you that you can predict BTC’s hourly price on Polymarket. Visit their crypto section and place your bets on this hourly prediction market. Best of luck! 🙌
🚗 How High Will Tesla's Production Be in Q3 2025?
On Kalshi, traders are almost split when predicting Tesla’s production in the third quarter of 2025. Tesla has been the talk of the town in the tech space, albeit not a good one.
This might affect traders’ sentiment, starting on Kalshi:
Above 370k: 90%
Above 390k: 70%
Above 410k: 43%
Above 430k: 29%
Tesla produced over 362,000 vehicles in Q1 2025 and delivered over 336,000 units. That’s a significant decline from Q4 2024, when they produced approximately 459,000 vehicles.
It also doesn’t help that Tesla’s stock has been affected by the Elon Musk-Donald Trump feud. Its overall direction is still up, but it has pared gains.
Moreover, this public fallout has stripped $150 billion off Tesla’s market cap.
Elon did post a message of regret, but is that enough to keep Tesla from falling off? 👀
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone!
⚖️ Politics
When will the National Guard leave Los Angeles? (Kalshi)
What will happen at Trump's military parade on June 14th in DC? (Manifold)
Will there be a US-Iran nuclear deal before July? (Polymarket)
🎭 Culture
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? (Polymarket)
How high will “Squid Game: Season 3” score on Rotten Tomatoes? (Kalshi)
Will the Black Woman statue be removed from Times Square early? (Polymarket)
