TDP #23: July's Bitcoin Gamble
See what's trending—before it happens.
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✍️ Editor’s note:
Welcome back to the 23rd edition of The Daily Prediction.
As we wrap up June, Bitcoin sits tantalizingly close to barriers that could define July’s trajectory. It’s hovering just around $107k, so let’s see how traders and analysts are viewing Bitcoin’s potential next month.
In the sports arena, the 2025 FIFA World Cup is rolling into the knockout stages. Predictions are intensifying among avid and casual football fans.
Summer sports and crypto volatility—buckle up for these signals as we head into the weekend. 😎
— The Daily Prediction Team
🪙 What Will Be Bitcoin’s Price on July 1?
Yup, we’re heading into July next week. Life comes at us fast.
And yes, people are already monitoring Bitcoin’s opening price on July 1. On Polymarket, traders are bullish on BTC’s potential. Take a look:
Above $108k: 39%
$106-108k: 24%
$104-106k: 20%
$102-104k: 12%
Less than $102k: 9%
You can also predict Bitcoin prices on Kalshi and Manifold, albeit slightly differently phrased markets. Here’s a quick list that we curated for your reference:
How high will Bitcoin get this year? (Kalshi)
When will Bitcoin hit $150k? (Kalshi)
Will Bitcoin get above $110k on June 30? (Manifold)
Will Bitcoin hit $115k in June? (Manifold)
🔎 Current Bitcoin Snapshot
As of June 27, 2025, Bitcoin’s price stands at $107,061. A United States-brokered Israel-Iran ceasefire likely eased market fears, stabilizing BTC in the meantime.
You have to remember that Bitcoin hit recent lows of $98.2k and $99.7k on June 22 and 23, respectively.
Still, Bitcoin (and cryptocurrency as a whole) is not out of the woods yet. ⛔
Reports indicate that Barclays UK will no longer accept any crypto purchases made through credit or debit cards. The move, citing volatility and consumer risk, aligns with broader banking caution in crypto.
Of course, Barclays’ restrictions apply to UK customers only. However, moves like this could influence global perception of crypto.
If you want to be more optimistic about Bitcoin’s surge in July, you might want to monitor these foreseeable events. 📝
US Senate’s crypto market structure bill
MAGACOIN Finance’s potential emergence as a bull-run candidate
Upcoming launch of the Ethereum Spot ETF
Federal Reserve rate cuts
🦄 A message from Groovy Market
⚽ Who Will Win the 2025 FIFA World Cup?
Manifold traders are throwing their digital dollars at football’s most unpredictable tournament. The 2025 FIFA World Cup has reached the Round of 16, which will kick off on June 28.
Interestingly, you can predict every match on Manifold in just a single all-in-one page. It makes life much easier for bulk traders (like you?). Here’s a quick overview of this Manifold market:
⚒️ Who Are the Favorites?
Above, you can see the 16 teams competing in the knockout stages. Per the supercomputer of Opta Analyst, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) has the highest probability to win it all.
But the team trailing PSG isn’t far behind. Take a look at the Top 5 teams with highest odds on the Opta Tournament Predictions (as of June 27):
PSG: 20.6%
Manchester City: 20.4%
Internazionale: 12.4%
Bayern Munchen: 11.3%
Chelsea: 10.4%
However, Kalshi traders are predicting a different winner. You can see here that they’re giving Manchester City the higher odds of winning (27%) than PSG (24%). Polymarket traders mirror this sentiment, with Man City garnering 26% odds compared to PSG’s 23%.
Don’t rely solely on these odds, though. If there’s something that we learned in the past, the World Cup is always full of surprises.
Hold to your horses, but keep an open mind. 💡
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone!
🧑💻 Tech
When will xAI release Grok 4? (Polymarket)
Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jan 1, 2026? (Kalshi)
Who will replace Elon Musk as Tesla CEO? (Polymarket)
🎭 Culture
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? (Polymarket)
Who will be the Call of Duty League Toronto Grand Finals Winner? (Kalshi)
Who will be the next James Bond? (Manifold)
