TDP #33: Bitcoin Breakout Part 2
See what's trending—before it happens.
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✍️ Editor’s note:
Welcome to the 33rd edition of The Daily Prediction!
There’s no better way to close out the week than two straight days of Bitcoin breaking out into record highs. 💸
Bitcoin just reached a new ATH, making degens happy and doubters bullish.
Prediction markets are also anticipating the public reception for the new Superman movie. Did renowned film director James Gunn whip up a masterpiece?
Let’s end this week on a high, folks. 📈
— The Daily Prediction Team
🪙 How High Will Bitcoin Get This Year?
If you doubted (sheesh) Bitcoin’s surge yesterday, you might want to rethink your reactions. BTC just reached an all-time peak today.
With Bitcoin coming through like a freight train, prediction markets are anticipating its ultimate potential in 2025. On Kalshi, traders are confident that BTC can reach above $125K.
Polymarket traders are reflecting this sentiment as well. The $120K and $130K price ranges are garnering the most attention.
Manifold’s “Bitcoin $150K in 2025” market is very intriguing. The probability is up to 39% now, and that could further increase in the next few days.
🔎 Current Bitcoin Snapshot
By “bringing on board another wave of momentum investors”, Bitcoin is recording all-time highs across the board.
Bitcoin broke through $118K after a sharp rally on Friday. Last July 7th, Standard Chartered anticipated that BTC would surge 25% this quarter, reaching $135K, with a bullish year-end forecast of $200K.
Changelly’s model takes it even further. It predicts that BTC will hit $125K by tomorrow (July 12).
Bullish, bullish note on almost every corner.
But how long can Bitcoin sustain this? Can it hit another record high in 2025? 👀
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🦸 How High Will Superman Gross Domestically on Opening Weekend?
Today marks Superman’s opening day, and the early indicators are promising.
Superman in overall previews is clocking $21M+ (including Amazon Prime screenings). That’s a record for James Gunn and the best so far in 2025.
As such, traders are predicting the movie’s sales on its opening weekend. Polymarket traders are bullish on Superman’s returns.
Manifold traders also give Superman an 82% chance of grossing above $120K.
🗣️ What Are the Critics Saying?
Oh, the critics are lovin’ it.
Superman debuts with a 96% on Rotten Tomatoes, with a strong 86% Tomatometer. This is fueling positive anticipation, which is always a positive thing heading into a movie’s first weekend.
Movie critic Nandini Ramnath says that Superman is a “showcase for Gunn’s talent”. Breeze Riley also mentions that Gunn’s first official DC Universe movie features “pitch-perfect casting”.
We curated a list of Superman opening weekend predictions by movie outlets:
Boxoffice Pro: $115M-135M
Box Office Theory: $125-150M
SportsCasting: $120M-130M
That Park Place: $115M-135M
The positive reviews from its advanced screenings and Amazon Prime early access events could further boost Superman’s sales performance.
How about you? Are you feeling super? 💪
🧐 Punting on the Peculiar
Stake your claim on these unique (and sometimes wild) markets on Polymarket, Manifold, and Kalshi.
Warning, though: This list isn’t for everyone!
⚖️ Politics
What will be the Fed's decision in July? (Polymarket)
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? (Kalshi)
Which NYC boroughs will Andrew Cuomo win? (Manifold)
🎾 Sports
Who will be the Wimbledon Women’s Winner? (Kalshi)
Which team will win the FIFA Club World Cup? (Polymarket)
Who will win Stage 7 of the Tour de France 2025? (Manifold)














