The Week in Prediction Markets #13 | Mar 08-Mar 14, 2026
Curated news, data, and articles on Prediction Markets 🔮
The CFTC released guidance for new prediction market contract listings, with Chairman Rostin Behnam referring to prediction markets as “the asset class.” - Source
Full coverage on the new CFTC guidance - Read
Earlier in the week, the CFTC Chairman also stated blockchain-based prediction markets can help counter disinformation and debanking risks through decentralized truth discovery - Watch
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour said the regulated prediction market platform is committed to operating within the rule of law - Watch
Polymarket has partnered with Palantir and TWG to develop a surveillance system designed to detect manipulation and insider trading across its sports markets - Read
Brokers, hedge funds, and other institutional investors are beginning to provide clients access to Kalshi’s event contracts - Read
Kalshi announced a partnership with Brazil’s largest brokerage as part of its first international expansion - Read
Why Brazil matters in this context - Read
The Wall Street Journal featured “Kalshi girls” in coverage of the company’s effort to expand beyond sports and its core male user base - Read
The Prediction Markets landscape map - Read
Over a third of American voters have already used prediction markets - Read
Prediction markets recorded a new all-time high of 47.26M weekly transactions, led by Polymarket with 26.26M - Read
Polymarket activity now represents a dominant share of total transactions and gas consumption on Polygon - Read
Data shows 92.7% of Polymarket market-making strategies are profitable - Read
A trader reportedly turned $200 into $83,000 betting that Elon Musk would not tweet during a specific market window - Read
Limitless is processing over 50% of Kalshi’s crypto-related volume and nearly 20% of Polymarket’s - Read
PolyGun announced the strategic acquisition of Polymarket Analytics - Read
A breakdown of strategies for trading the 15-minute $BTC prediction market - Read
The Big 5 of 2025: an overview of the largest global prediction market platforms - Read
Shane Coplan on how prediction markets provide real-time, objective signals on geopolitics - Watch
Before You Go
Follow @DollarTrade & our editor on X
Subscribe to the newsletter
Thanks for riding with us!