The Week in Prediction Markets #17 - Feb 04-Feb 10, 2026

Curated news and articles on Prediction Markets 🔮

• Polymarket announces protocol updates, including changes to its order book and a native stablecoin rollout (link)

• Prediction markets are a duopoly, but not for long (link)

• Kalshi becomes the first platform onboarded to IC360’s self-exclusion hub (link)

• Kalshi partners with Fiscal API and Bending to launch KPI-based markets for companies (link)

• Polymarket begins rolling out an ML-powered recommendation engine to select users (link)

• Binance Wallet integrates PredictFun to offer prediction markets (link)

• Kalshi launches livestreams and live scores for esports markets (link)

• Fox News integrates with Kalshi (link)

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• 84% of Polymarket traders are unprofitable, with only 2% earning over $1,000 total profit (link)

• Polymarket daily fees hit $1.9M (link)

• Polymarket surpasses Polygon in revenue after monetization (link)

• Prediction market revenue for April 1–7 reported (link)

• Polymarket records 9 consecutive days with over $900K in daily fees (link)

• Monthly notional volume reached ~$26.75B in January, with March near similar levels (link)

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• How prediction markets and perps reacted to the Iran war oil shock (link)

• Leverage in prediction markets (link)

• HIP4 and outcomes nobody talks about (link)

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• Prediction markets are positioned to replace large portions of investing

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📅 Events

• The Odds, a prediction market-focused event during Paris Blockchain Week (link)

• Prediction Conference is happening in Las Vegas during April 22–24 (link)
  Check out the speakers lineup.

  

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