The Week in Prediction Markets #6 — Jan 18–Jan 24, 2026
Curated news and articles on Prediction Markets 🔮
📰 News
Portugal orders Polymarket to shut down within 48 hours — link
DAZN names Polymarket as its exclusive prediction market partner — link
Luana, Kalshi co-founder, goes pro-regulation on national TV — link
Why prediction markets could be bigger than the stock market — link
📊 Markets / Data
Kalshi leads prediction markets by notional volume for the 5th straight week — link
Polymarket is the #1 app by transaction count in the Ethereum ecosystem — link
Polymarket prices a 6% chance that Satoshi moves bitcoin in 2026 — link
Why Martin Shkreli is bearish on prediction markets — link
🚀 Launches
15-minute crypto markets go live on Kalshi — link
Polymarket Times: a newspaper powered entirely by real-time prediction odds — link
Pigeon Trade: an agent to trade Polymarket via Claude Code — link
Orb is a new tool to spot whales on prediction markets — link
🧱 Project Updates
New Polymarket Enterprise Report published by Messari (premium) — link
Kalshi is hiring a designer. This could be for you → link
🧵 Threads / Reads
The truth not told about prediction markets as information — link
Becoming the Academy: What Prediction Markets Could Become — link
Prediction Markets + AI Agents will hyper-financialize everything — link
How to arbitrage prediction markets ($10,000/month) — link
On prediction markets — link
Prediction markets’ next frontier: impact and decision markets — link
Polymarket trading tools overview — link
The biggest Polymarket profits come from insight, not bots — link
Prediction markets today resemble options markets pre-Black-Scholes — link
The impact of Polymarket fees on bots — link
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